| Total (n = 1722) | Training set (n = 1206) | Validation set (n = 516) | P value for Training vs validation | Alive (n = 793) | Died (n = 929) | P value for Alive vs died |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age (years old) (mean (SD)) | 66.76 (16.61) | 66.92 (16.61) | 66.37 (16.62) | 0.527 | 65.14 (16.35) | 68.14 (16.71) |  < 0.001 |
Man (n%) | 1033 (59.99) | 705 (58.46) | 328 (63.57) | 0.054 | 504 (63.56) | 529 (56.94) | 0.006 |
SBP (mmHg) (mean (SD)) | 113.43 (17.87) | 112.62 (17.53) | 115.31 (18.51) | 0.004 | 116.93 (15.52) | 110.44 (19.17) |  < 0.001 |
DBP (mmHg) (mean (SD)) | 62.20 (12.16) | 61.75 (11.90) | 63.24 (12.71) | 0.019 | 63.48 (10.79) | 61.10 (13.12) |  < 0.001 |
MBP (mmHg) (mean (SD)) | 76.69 (12.26) | 76.21 (12.14) | 77.82 (12.47) | 0.012 | 78.77 (10.47) | 74.92 (13.36) |  < 0.001 |
Heart rate (beats/minute) (mean (SD)) | 85.00 (18.43) | 85.20 (18.45) | 84.53 (18.37) | 0.488 | 80.87 (16.36) | 88.52 (19.35) |  < 0.001 |
Respiratory rate(beats/minute) (mean (SD)) | 20.92 (4.43) | 20.93 (4.42) | 20.90 (4.46) | 0.885 | 19.80 (4.04) | 21.87 (4.53) |  < 0.001 |
Temperature (°C) (mean (SD)) | 36.44 (1.16) | 36.46 (1.15) | 36.41 (1.19) | 0.407 | 36.68 (0.90) | 36.24 (1.31) |  < 0.001 |
SPO2 (%) (mean (SD)) | 96.18 (5.20) | 96.05 (5.60) | 96.50 (4.10) | 0.099 | 97.39 (2.19) | 95.15 (6.61) |  < 0.001 |
Comorbidities, n (%) | |||||||
 Hypertension (n, %) | 661 (38.39) | 458 (37.98) | 203 (39.34) | 0.632 | 316 (39.85) | 345 (37.14) | 0.270 |
 Myocardial infarction (n, %) | 416 (24.16) | 297 (24.63) | 119 (23.06) | 0.526 | 211 (26.61) | 205 (22.07) | 0.033 |
 Congestive heart failure (n, %) | 396 (23.00) | 280 (23.22) | 116 (22.48) | 0.787 | 204 (25.73) | 192 (20.67) | 0.015 |
 Diabetes mellitus (n, %) | 263 (15.27) | 186 (15.42) | 77 (14.92) | 0.848 | 109 (13.75) | 154 (16.58) | 0.119 |
 Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (n, %) | 129 (7.49) | 92 (7.63) | 37 (7.17) | 0.817 | 70 (8.83) | 59 (6.35) | 0.064 |
Laboratory parameters | |||||||
 Anion gap (mmol/L) (median (IQR)) | 16.50 (14.00–20.00) | 16.50 (14.00, 20.00) | 16.50 (13.88, 19.50) | 0.541 | 15.00 (13.50, 18.00) | 17.50 (15.00, 22.00) |  < 0.001 |
 BUN (mg/dL) (median (IQR)) | 25.00 (17.00–41.00) | 25.00 (17.00, 40.50) | 25.00 (17.00, 42.62) | 0.695 | 21.50 (15.00, 34.50) | 29.00 (19.00, 46.00) |  < 0.001 |
 Bicarbonate (mmol/L) (median (IQR)) | 21.50 (18.00–24.50) | 21.00 (18.00, 24.50) | 21.50 (18.00, 25.00) | 0.099 | 23.00 (20.00, 25.00) | 19.50 (16.50, 23.00) |  < 0.001 |
 Creatinine (mg/dL) (median (IQR)) | 1.35 (0.90–2.20) | 1.35 (0.90, 2.19) | 1.35 (0.90, 2.16) | 0.966 | 1.15 (0.85, 1.80) | 1.50 (1.00, 2.45) |  < 0.001 |
 Chloride(mmol/L) (median (IQR)) | 104.0 (99.50–107.50) | 104.00 (100.00, 107.50) | 103.59 (99.50, 107.50) | 0.388 | 104.00 (100.00, 107.00) | 104.00 (99.50, 108.00) | 0.158 |
 Glucose (mg/dL) (median (IQR)) | 161.00 (125.50–214.00) | 161.00 (126.00, 215.50) | 161.00 (124.50, 211.12) | 0.655 | 148.00 (120.50, 191.50) | 170.50 (133.50, 234.00) |  < 0.001 |
 Hematocrit (%) | 33.49 (6.98) | 33.49 (7.10) | 33.51 (6.71) | 0.950 | 34.00 (6.57) | 33.06 (7.29) | 0.006 |
 Hemoglobin (g/dL) (mean (SD)) | 10.89 (2.38) | .90 (2.40) | 10.87 (2.33) | 0.817 | 11.18 (2.28) | 10.64 (2.44) |  < 0.001 |
 INR (median (IQR)) | 1.33 (1.15–1.75) | 1.33 (1.15, 1.75) | 1.33 (1.15, 1.80) | 0.814 | 1.25 (1.10, 1.45) | 1.45 (1.20, 2.10) |  < 0.001 |
 PT(s) (median (IQR)) | 14.70 (12.80–19.10) | 14.70. (12.80, 18.95) | 14.70 (12.75, 19.23) | 0.868 | 13.70 (12.25, 16.20) | 15.70 (13.55, 22.50) |  < 0.001 |
 Lactate (mmol/L) (median (IQR)) | 3.30 (1.80–5.60) | 3.26 (1.80, 5.60) | 3.30 (1.80, 5.56) | 0.999 | 2.46 (1.60, 4.30) | 4.18 (2.20, 6.70) |  < 0.001 |
 Platelet (109 /L) (median (IQR)) | 193 (142.00–257.50) | 189.75 (140.00, 255.12) | 199.00 (146.38, 268.50) | 0.104 | 196.50 (151.50, 257.00) | 189.00 (129.00, 258.50) | 0.007 |
 pH (median (IQR)) | 7.32 (7.24–7.39) | 7.32 (7.24, 7.39) | 7.34 (7.24, 7.39) | 0.210 | 7.35 (7.28, 7.40) | 7.30 (7.21, 7.38) |  < 0.001 |
 Potassium (mmol/L) (mean (SD)) | 4.39 (0.73) | 4.39 (0.73) | 4.39 (0.74) | 0.930 | 4.33 (0.64) | 4.44 (0.80) | 0.003 |
 Sodium (mmol/L) (mean (SD)) | 138.68 (5.29) | 138.67 (5.24) | 138.70 (5.39) | 0.915 | 138.36 (4.47) | 138.95 (5.88) | 0.020 |
 Calcium (mmol/L) (mean (SD)) | 8.38 (1.13) | 8.39 (1.17) | 8.37 (1.02) | 0.718 | 8.47 (0.85) | 8.31 (1.32) | 0.003 |
 WBC (109 /L) (median (IQR)) | 12.55 (9.05–17.05) | 12.55 (9.15, 17.20) | 12.53 (8.84, 16.70) | 0.483 | 11.75 (8.75, 15.60) | 13.20 (9.50, 18.20) | 0.003 |
 Dopamine (n, %) | 283 (15.97) | 208 (17.25) | 68 (13.18) | 0.042 | 94 (11.85) | 182 (19.59) |  < 0.001 |
 Epinephrine (n, %) | 359 (20.26) | 242 (20.07) | 100 (19.38) | 0.794 | 103 (12.99) | 239 (25.73) |  < 0.001 |
 Ventilation (n, %) | 1526 (88.61) | 1068 (88.56) | 458 (88.76) | 0.969 | 710 (89.53) | 816 (87.84) | 0.303 |
Scoring systems | |||||||
 SOFA (mean (SD)) | 8.65 (4.53) | 8.85 (4.52) | 8.40 (4.58) | 0.056 | 7.34 (4.47) | 9.89 (4.26) |  < 0.001 |
 SAPS III (mean (SD)) | 70.57 (30.63) | 70.94 (30.74) | 70.82 (30.85) | 0.937 | 59.06 (28.58) | 81.02 (28.91) |  < 0.001 |
 GCS (mean (SD)) | 14.00 (2.78) | 14.04 (2.72) | 13.92 (2.91) | 0.429 | 14.56 (1.31) | 13.53 (3.51) |  < 0.001 |
 In-hospital death (n, %) | 929 (53.95) | 673 (55.80) | 256 (49.61) | 0.021 |  |  |  |